Sunday, February 23, 2014

Weekend Result Analysis 2/20-22



Hey guys, I’ve been really busy the past couple of days! This will be a pretty long post, so get ready. I’m going to try and just do result analysis here and then I’ll have a post up tomorrow that will be about the implications for the state meet of all the races.

State College HS Meet #3

State College showed how strong they were in the 800 as they dominated the open race going 1-3. Adams grabbed the win in 1:57.0; Post wasn’t too far behind running 1:57.2, while Golembeski finished the trio in 1:57.9. These boys are in really fantastic shape, that’s all I will say for now. Behind them Andy Miller of Wyomissing Area ran very strong once again hitting 1:58.8! He’s been dropping time all season and looks to be a real threat next weekend. Brett George had a breakout race for Altoona as the sophomore grabbed the SQS in 2:00.0!! It’s rare for sophomores to run ~2 flat, he might be Altoona’s next super star, watch out! Jon Carroll looked solid as well running 2:01.4 for 6th place.

Will Cather dominated the Mile, running 4:20.5 for the win over Jeff Groh who ran just 4:27.2. I’m a bit surprised that Groh did not keep with Cather longer, but clearly Cather has the strength as well as the speed right now. The possibility was there after XC for a big breakout year and it is really coming to fruition for him. Groh is still coming off injury and I’m not too worried, I see him as a sleeper for next weekend as a medalist. He also must have had a monster split on there DMR, since they ran really quick.

Alex Milligan is another sophomore who grabbed the SQS running 4:30.9 for 3rd place! Darien Knudsen of MC also got himself the standard in 4:32.3. Cole Nissley just missed it putting in a 4:32.9 effort to give himself some more speed for next weekend’s 3k. 

Griffin Molino gave the 3k another shot and it paid off as he ran a 5 second PB to get the state standard in 8:58.3. It takes some time to get used to indoors (these were his first two races) and I think he will only continue to improve come next weekend. Kyle Shinn looked strong running 9:03.3 as he placed second overall, while his teammate Jack Dicintio didn’t have as good of a day as he had at Kevin Dare, running just 9:11.1 this time. Either way he’s looking very strong, and I believe he’ll be a big sophomore to keep an eye on.

The Distance Medley was on fire at this meet with Altoona winning in a big performance of 10:29.1, but they were followed closely by Lower Dauphin who was 10:33.7!! I am so glad both teams ran this even, since they clearly have the pieces to be really successful. This brings us a few questions about what Nissley will do at states and what relay will Altoona will choose. These will be addressed tomorrow! These times are really big though.

State College’s 800m guys all came back for the 4x4 where they went 3:26.9 for a solo’d win.
Also to note is State College’s other breakout sophomore Kellin Valentine who is now 12th on both the long jump and triple jump lists and has senior Bryce Williams as guidance going into the state meet. Lets see if he can drop big PR’s once again to medal…

TSTCA Indoor Track and Field Championships

So glad that they finally had a real meet and it turned out to be as big as I anticipated. In the 800m we saw 5 SQS’s and a big win from Dylin Wilhoite in 1:58.50. Altoona made the trip out west just a day after running 10:29 for the DM with Brad Foust coming in second in 1:59.18 while Mitch Endress placed 4th in 2:00.25. Marcus Smail beat Endress out for 3rd by just .01 while James Smith of Upper Saint also grabbed the standard in a 2:00.39 clocking. Wilhoite should be a threat for a mid-level medalist and is clearly the best 800m runner out west right now. Smail and Smith really came into their own last outdoor season, but it’s good to see them running quick indoors. Foust and Endress have a real question in front of them: Go open events or save up for the DMR/4x8?

James Smith looked really strong in the Mile as well winning in 4:24.33 over a pretty solid field. That double of his is really fantastic and he has definitely thrown his name into the Mile medalist conversation after this weekend. Cordon Louco was second in 4:28.55, a time I would have to suspect he is happy with. Ryan Lerda of South Fayette came out of nowhere and dropped a 4:29.13 to get the SQS, beating out the sophomore stud Mike Kolor who ran 4:29.55 this weekend. It’s his second time under 4:30 this season and I really like the consistency. Will he drop time at states? Jeff Van Kooten looked solid once again in 4:31.59, but nothing special for the young man who was a breakout star in XC. I am a bit surprised he didn’t move up in distance this weekend.

Colin Martin won the 3k in dominating fashion as he cruised an 8:49.64 which helped get Matt Mcgoey to the SQS in a solid time of 8:54.58. I bet Mcgoey has a bit more in him for next weekend, but it’s pretty clear that Martin is the class of the state in the 3k right now. The real shocker was 3rd place finisher Will Loevner of Winchester Thurston. His PR is 4:31 for 1600m and he barely broke 18 minutes at the state meet in XC, but he ran 8:55 for 3k yesterday!! I had hoped we would get more 3k qualifiers, but never would I have believed this was in store. He did run 9:08 earlier this season, but I had brushed it off then. This second performance show’s he is the real deal and is ready to play, oh and did I mention he’s just a sophomore?? This sophomore class is so strong, it’s ridiculous. I will be updating that sophomore post and doing a freshman one this coming Tuesday.

Altoona also ran the 4x8, but all the racing must have got to them as they went just 8:15.28, but it got them the win. They have had 3 runners go 2 flat in the past 2 days and could clearly break 8 flat at the state meet if they choose to run it. Seneca Valley was helped by their tired legs as they put together a nice 8:17.85 to get the state standard. They’re a young team and it’s great to see them getting the chance to race at the state meet.

Did I say Altoona also raced the 4x8? Because they ALSO raced the DMR and won in 11:05! Obviously not a stellar time, but Foust and Endress on the triple while Stroh was doubling. Endress also ran on the 4x4! These boys got a great workout in and should be in amazing shape for next weekend. Canon-McMillan put together a solid DM of 11:11.11 which is just awesome. They’re only a ‘A’ team and I’m impressed with what they put together.

Bible Baptist College HS Invitational Last Chance Meet

In the 1600m Tyler Vella and Matt Kravitz went at it for the 3rd time this season, this time Vella got the win in a very impressive time of 4:27.20 to Kravitz 4:29.97. Those conversions get both of them the standard. Just a few weekends ago they tired in 4:36.00 and now they’re running some really solid times. Thought both would just sneak in, but Kravitz is another sophomore right around the 4:30 mark! Speaking of sophomores around the 4:30 mark, Dominic Hockenbury was 3rd place in 4:30.44 which converts to 4:32.2 giving him the SQS! It will be good to see the youngster at the state meet. I’m also impressed with how much speed he has.

Kravitz came back to win the open 800m in 2:01.07, just missing the SQS.
In the boys 3k it seems the rumors of West Chester Henderson entries were false, and Jack Tidball ended up solo’ing a 9:04.32. He’s made some great improvements this season and if he had competition I bet he would have been able to get the SQS which is a real shame. I am excited to see how he does outdoors.

And now what most of you have probably been waiting for

TFCA of GP 49th Meet of Champions

This was one of my favorite meets in high school and it’s great to cover it. First off in the 400 we saw some interesting figures as Frank Brophy was a strong second in 51.03. I really hope he runs the open 8 at states since he’s clearly got great speed. Right behind him was Joe Logue getting his legs rolling in 51.05. I believe he’s been focusing more on distance this season so a bit less speed giving more weight to this race. It’s clear he’s ready to roll next weekend.

In the open 800 we saw a rematch between Wiseman and Lewis from earlier in the season with Wiseman getting the win and the meet record from indoor state champion Jamar Jones with a very strong 1:54.71 to Lewis’ 1:55.49. I am glad we got to see Lewis try out the 800 once again before states, but it seems that the 400m is where he’ll be taking his talents. They’re quick pace helped a slew of guys (7) grab the state standard: Eli Mercado (1:58.06), Graham Allen (1:59.60), Billy Caldwell (2:00.11), Tre Williams (2:00.42), and Dan Ferraiolo (2:00.48). Most of these guys already had the SQS, but it was a nice tune up. Eli Mercado finally had his breakout race which we’ve all been anticipating after some quick 400’s the past few weekends. He’s got the be in the conversation to medal at this point. Billy Caldwell seems to have been tuning up for the Mile, as he didn’t run that well, but still was solid with his 2 flat effort. I was hoping he would be in 1:57 mid shape by this point in the season. Allen seems to be holding on to fitness he had in December and isn’t fading too much, while Ferraiolo looks to throw down a good relay leg next weekend for Malvern Prep’s DMR.

The Boys Mile was also quick with Wilson and Hoey leading back and forth until Ross took the lead with 700m to go. Francis was sitting back, while Hoey made a pass on Wilson with 300m to go. In the last lap Francis blew everyone’s doors off closing quickly in his last 400m to run 4:19.03. Hoey was second in 4:19.96 and Wilson held on for a strong 3rd place in 4:21.34. Now Francis has a real qualm on his hands. He could run the Mile where second place looks to be almost on lockdown for him after beating two of his biggest competitors this past weekend. I highly doubt he’d be able to beat Russell unless the pace was very slow. In the 800 the competition for the win is steep and Francis could realistically come in anywhere from 1st to 4th. Does he go for the more solidified 8 points in the Mile or take the risk but go for a state record and the win in the open 800? No matter which way you slice it, Kyle Francis is one of the best mid-distance guys in PA with fantastic range. Hoey continues to look like an animal, breaking 4:20 for the second time this season, now on a flat track. He is scary good. 

Austin Cooper had himself another strong race running 4:25.77 for 4th place, beating out some solid competition behind him. Ryan Grace of NP was 5th and seems to be fading a bit. We haven’t seen him drop much time recently, he only ran 4:28 this weekend. David Folwer stepped up and had a big race getting the SQS in 4:29.40 for 6th place. Right behind him were two strong sophomores in Jake Brophy (4:29.91) and Colin Wills (4:30.28). Brophy’s speed keeps improving and he’s going to be a real threat in the 3k. Colin Wills will be great on the 1200 leg for Malvern Prep after running another PR this weekend. He an Hoey are going to run train on PA in two years, boy the thought of that DMR is scary. . . but I’m getting ahead of myself. These two are doing work right now and that’s what matters.

Kardish was 4:30 in the Mile, leaving further questions about what he’ll do at states. Perlman continues with his speed training in 4:30.8. The last time he ran the Mile twice in a row he dropped sub 9 afterwards and he is just getting faster; I think he’ll be dangerous in the 3k at states. Diestelow also grabbed the SQS, while James Hare and Casey Comber just missed it.
The 3k was quite an odd race with Wilson and Comber doubling back so they went out in 3:04 for the first 1k. Arita lead Mason through the first 2k before dying off. There were only 8 guys in the field and it was difficult to grab the time, but Arita’s effort helped lead Scott Mason to a PR of 8:56.73, helping him get a spot for states instead of a bid in. Wilson closed very strong after going out slow winning with a time of 8:56.00. Comber also picked up the pace finishing his last 2k in 6:02, finishing in 9:06.

LaSalle solo’d a strong 8:05.44 4x800m team victory. With some competition (states) they could go sub 8. Will they choose this over the DMR? Behind them was a group of teams getting the SQS who didn’t have it yet: Twin Valley (8:19.53), Downingtown West (8:19.94), Central Bucks West (8:21.09), and Bonner (8:21.49). North Penn and Bensalem also went under the mark, but they’ve done that before. North Penn seems to have peaked early which is really surprising for them,  and Bensalem confirmed that they are better in the DMR. I’m really happy that young squads like TV and Dtown West got the SQS.

Cardinal O’Hara blew everyone out of the water in the DMR with a PA #2 time of 10:22.00. Kevin James anchored in 4:21. This throws another wrench in the relay scene which I will attempt to answer tomorrow. I like O’Hara better in the DMR, but the 4x8 might make more sense for them. We shall see. Ultimately, they threw down this weekend and could give Henderson a real run for their money. I hope we see them at least race each other at Nationals in the DM. 

Radnor finally got the SQS which I am really excited about, as they ran 10:46.98 beating out Saint Joseph’s Prep who put together another really strong relay in 10:49.10 getting the standard again. CB South just missed the Q running 10:50.11 beating out strong teams like Upper Darby (10:53), Bonner (10:55), and Great Valley (10:56).

More to come tomorrow!!

--ForrestCRN

52 comments:

  1. Radnor's had the time...hey ran 10:39 at the Armory. Quakertown was in that race too in 10:46

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  2. The DMR was first at the state college meet. Just to add some perspective to those times.

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  3. Why no coverage of the Valentine's Invitational?

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    1. I was there. The track was 2 lanes and very wet, so not that quick. Passing people was also difficult.
      Top 3 in the 800 and Mile:

      Russell - 1:57.3
      Moy - 1:57.7
      Stratman - 2:01.7

      Swart - 4:41.3
      Szuhaj - 4:42.5
      Barchet - 4:45.2

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    2. Pretty cool that they got it in. Hopefully someone brought a snowblower and they didn't make the freshmen shovel those lanes.

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    3. The whole team did. Twice actually.

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  4. States perf list is up

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  5. http://pa.milesplit.com/meets/152492/attachment/284243

    Here is the performance list. Francis just in the 800. James in the 3k.

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    1. Nice to see Francis and James passing on the mile. With Russell the heavy favorite in the mile these guys are focusing on other events to go after gold. Gutsy move since they’ll have less time before their relays but I think they'll be fine.
      - RJJL

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    2. What the heck are you guys doing? Nobody in the 3K, Stratman not running, everyone in the slower heats. What gives?

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    3. That's probably what they're wondering too.

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    4. This is just a routine meet for them. They'll just cruise to their gold and move on to nationals.

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    5. They might pass on it to train for nats.

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  6. the mile is stacked and there's a ton of competition for some of the lower medals.

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  7. Surprised to see so many guys in the 3k that will most likely double back in the DMR/4x800. Cummings, James, Kardish, McDevitt (although that relay may be Hoey/Ferraiolo/Willis so maybe not), Brophy, and Nissley. That'll be interesting to see how some of these relays fare...

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  8. Will they be accepting more entries? The 800 looks like it could be larger, only 19 entered so far.

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  9. Correct me if I am wrong, but I dont see Brehm, or Carlisle anywhere???

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    1. No Carlisle runners. Runners had too many other conflicts.
      Only Paschall in the two jumps.

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  10. Likely heats:
    800-2 heats-Heat 2
    Logue
    Francis
    Wiseman
    Cather
    Sauer
    Wilhoite
    Smart
    Mercado
    O'Connell
    Heat 1
    Miller
    Ferraiolo
    Thompson
    Allen
    Myers
    Holm
    Cooper
    Schulberger
    Stewart
    Williams
    Heat 2 is very top heavy. If that 2nd group goes out with the leaders, they'll suffer. Probably, 2 medals will come out of heat 1.
    Mile:
    Heat 3
    Russell
    Hoey
    Bilotta
    Wilson
    Belfatto
    Caldwell
    Ritz
    Smith
    Becich
    Cooper
    Heat 2
    Grace
    Groh
    Moy
    Coakley
    Barchet
    Louco
    Kolor
    Hopkins
    Lerda
    Fowler
    Heat 1
    Willis
    Sullivan
    Weidner
    Collins
    Milligan
    Van Kooten
    Abert
    Sponaugle
    Willig
    Hanson
    Kravitz
    Interesting race. If Russell goes out hard, others will have to decide what to do. If they get too tactical, some big medals could come out of the 2nd heat. Can Abert come through by himself in the 1st heat?
    DMR-One heat-# of doublers:
    Henderson-at least 3. Stratman wasn't in the mile. What leg will he run?
    Lower Dauphin-2 doubling 1 from the 3k(that's a tough double)
    Holy Ghost Prep-1 doubling from 3k
    LaSalle-1 doubling
    Radnor-2 doubling-doesn't make much sense as they could have gotten 2nd here, and there guys are both in the slow sections of their events.
    GFS-No doublers.
    Malvern-3 doublers
    CRN-No doublers.
    Quakertown-No doublers
    CBS-No doublers
    Great Valley-1 doublling
    WCE-1 doubling from 3k.
    GFS and Quaketown could be dangerous going fresh. GFS loves this race. Will Henderson go after the SR with at least 3 of their legs doubling and what order will they run?
    4 x 8-Heat 2
    State College
    O'Hara
    Penncrest
    Altoona
    DTE
    North Penn
    Pennsbury
    Abington
    Strath Haven
    Upper Darby
    STP
    Avon Grove
    Heat 1-Everyone else.
    A team rarely medals out of heat 1 in this race. O'Hara has 3 guys on the double including James who is running the 3k. He's a tough SOB and can probably handle it, especially if he runs well in the 3k. Penncrest could sneak in front of them if they're not careful. DTE is fresh except for Caldwell. It should be a great race up front and then a nice battle for 4-8 with a lot of evenly matched teams.

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    1. This is probably a decent post, but the format it too tough to read.

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  11. Cather wins 800, Russell wins mile, Martin edges out James in 3k

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    1. Francis wins the 800.
      O'Hara wins the 4x8
      WCH wins the dmr.
      Russell in the mile.

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    2. DeLuca in the 3K

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    3. Francis 800, SC 4x8, WCH DMR, Russell mile, Martin just over James in the 3k

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  12. I agree, DeLuca in the 3k

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  13. If the race turns tactical it'll be Deluca. He's got speed that could out do stronger guys like Martin and James. But if the races goes out fast and is pushed then I have Martin taking the win over James. Deluca will be close in third. Here's what I got...

    1. Martin- 8:34
    2. James- 8:37
    3. Deluca- 8:38

    -RunFaster

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    1. Kevin James has the best mile PR, and the best 800 PR out of the whole field a tactical race would be best for him rather than deluca

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    2. If anyone reaches sub 8:30 it will be Deluca

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  14. Are the SQS standards different from last year? Looks like they used the banked track standard only. So out of nine runners who were between the backed track and flat track standards for the 800, only one got in.

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  15. The Real Train blog is currently much better than this one. He has been posting very frequently and already has the mile and 800 preview up.

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    1. Lighten up, Forrest has carried this torch very well for almost a year now while Etrain sat on a beach counting his fortune from blogging.

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    2. Haha fortune? His Adsense account got shot down and he ended up making nothing haha

      But Forrest's blog is the place to be, still way more discussion and stuff that other blog has none of that

      And besides what's to stop him from quitting on us again in a month?

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    3. Both are pretty good reads actually. I'd you're a track geek like I am, you'll like both of them. I gotta say, like etrains 800 picks.

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    4. Who cares which is better. Both are still excellent places of discussion and I actually prefer both having two blogs over one. It's more opinion from two guys who actually know what they're talking about. It's more to read and only facilitates more discussion. I will say that Etrain just simply has a better writing style and typically has some spot on predictions. But Forrest has kept discussion going arguably better than Etrain did. The comment totals hit 60+ on most of these posts and Forrest goes pretty in depth with some solid detail. Let's not forget that he also has some work with Penntrack now...he can actually watch the races unfold. It's nice having two view points.

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    5. They are both good. Forrest has just been a little busy which is understandable.

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    6. I'm a fan of both and picking on over the other would be like a kid having to choose parents in a divorce.

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    7. Lets not bash their work. Both have done great work. Without them, we wouldnt be reading/writng about these.

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  16. Forrest, can you end this week with a predictions post and leave it there until after the meet so the comments/predictions can accumulate in one place?

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  17. lets see some predictions!! and I also like etrain's 800 predictions, except I think it will go Wiseman, Logue, Francis, Cather
    Ill explain in detail how the race will unfold in the 800 post when it goes up

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  18. Henderson walked away from probably 20 points in the 3000.

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    1. That's a ridiculous statement. How many teams in the history of the meet have scored 20 points in one event? They scored 0 points in the 3k last year. Are they that much better this year? Let's be realistic.

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    2. Not 20 but they definitely would've had at least 2 medalists

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    3. Agree not 20. At best they might have taken 1st, 3rd and maybe 7th. That's only 18.

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    4. But if Russell doubles in mile and 3K and Barchet runs 3K, they have no shot at the DMR

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  19. I highly doubt Barchet is in the dmr.

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    1. He will be if Russell isn't because he ran the mile and 3K

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    2. He could have been if they went after the 3000 too but they didn't. Expect to see Russell Moy Thompson and someone in the 400. The 3000 should be epic, there's more to states than just WCH.

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  20. Russell isn't on the list to run the 3k, nor did he run one this season.So there's that.

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  21. Henderson are weenies

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  22. Hey I didn't know that Tony Russell transferred to *whatever team has a black kid with glasses*

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