I'd like to start off by saying that I can no longer log into PennTrack. I'm not sure if I was banned, but I made a fairly long Foundation preview on Thursday evening and it was deleted, along with my other posts the next morning. I'm not sure if I was banned and why that may have happened, but it's just a heads of for all of you that I no longer have access to stats.
Moving on -- I think it’s only fair that we start with the biggest meet
of the weekend with the most shocking results:
8th PIAA Foundation - Paul Power (15:50) -- 4th Fastest Hershey All-Time! O'Hara takes down NA
8th PIAA Foundation - Paul Power (15:50) -- 4th Fastest Hershey All-Time! O'Hara takes down NA
Gold Race: Paul Power. Honestly I really don’t have the
words, but I will try to find them in a brief free-write. Power’s 15:50 clocking absolutely destroys
anything that has been done in previous years and it makes him the 4th fastest runner All-Time on the Hershey Course behind Tony Russell, (15:45 and 15:49), Brad Miles (15:47), and Rad Gunzenhauser (15:49). He went out in 7:38 behind James
and Brophy to bring down the hammer the second half of this race to take down
Kevin James by 4 seconds. James follows up a tough defeat at Briarwood by
showing his great hill running ability at the state meet with a second place
finish of 15:54, which ties the times of Molino and Abert from last season along with other runners like Zach Hebda (2011). This defeats Jake Brophy by 7 second who ran 16:01, which is
no slouch effort either. Power has to be AT LEAST ranked 3rd in the
state right now. James and Brophy are both coming off of a fairly tough course
at Briarwood, but this is Power’s opening invitational. He jumped into a big
role last season, and did not show too much on the track, but clearly Power is
at his best on the XC course and at longer distances. Behind this stud filled
top 3 was McGoey and Wharrey who ran together once again going out in 7:44
through 2.5k and finishing in 16:17 and 16:21 a piece. These two are putting up
some really great numbers and will be looking for top 10 finishes at the state
meet come November. As we’ll get to later, their squad has a lot of work to do.
Ryan James also had a phenomenal race. To give some
perspective his brother, Kevin, ran 16:34 here as a sophomore and Ryan just ran
16:29. He’s made some big jumps this season, and I believe they will keep
coming. He’s looking to be a lock as a sophomore medalist out of the AAA scene.
Another season opener was from Perlman who looked very strong in 16:30, but
placed 7th in a packed field. Behind them, from PA, was Ian Baun who
took it out hard, just 3 seconds behind the NA boys, but faded a bit to 9th
place in 16:38. It’s still a fantastic effort from Baun who has had a really
great start to his season. He’s running fearlessly and coming up big. And so is
Sean Weidner of LD who went out with him and faded as well to a 16:41 time,
which is also very strong.
Seel had a solid race, but it still seems like he’s missing
Seamus Love. Diestelow had a nice bounceback race, which is great to see. The
St. Joes guys Piscano and Fisher have been very solid two weeks in a row and
honestly looked better on the hills of Hershey than the flats of Bulldog, so
good for them. Milligan continues to mix it up as well, but clearly not looking
as strong as he opened his season.
Now, let’s get to some team results: Cardinal O’Hara, despite
a still recovering race from Pastore in 17:37 for 40th place, take
down NA by 5 points! I knew I should have called that. Everyone is really big
on NA this season, but I’m not sure why. They lost a huge runner in Seamus Love
and their 4-5 runners have no developed yet this season. They might be able to
make some big leaps, but realistically they’ve got a ways to go in terms of
beating O’Hara, and here’s why: a) O’Hara has a solid 3-4 combo with Rob Morro
and Drew Pastore. Pastore has proven to us in the past, like last year’s State
meet where he finished 65th in 17:06 (ahead of runners like Baun,
Linderman, and Piscano and right behind Milligan and Diestelow). He clearly can
get back to where he was, and is doing it now. He was O’Hara’s 7th
man last meet and was their 4th guy this week by 20 seconds. B) O’Hara
only has to worry about the development of a 5th man. They’ve got
Donovan and Nolen (who has been on some big time relays), along with the 3rd
James, a young man named Patrick. It’s pretty cool that they keep coming, and
he just ran 18 flat, which is 6 seconds away from being on their varsity team.
Look for him to be a step up 5th man or Nolen who knows big meets
well. C) NA usually starts out really strong. We almost always see these guys
get out really well, especially at Foundation. The fact that nobody has stepped
up, like Wharrey did at the start of last season, yet really does put them in a
tough place.
Now, does this mean NA is bad by any means? Of course not.
They’ve two top 15 runners in the state on their side and a very solid 3rd
man in Scott Seel. Right now, out of AAA teams they’ve 2nd, but they
better watch out, because Mount Lebanon looks great: They finished just 5
points behind NA. I think this is a great conversation: Will NA maintain their
8 straight WPIAL titles? Ian Baun is looking like a great front man and Todd
Gunzenhauser is slowly moving his way up. The two of them at the end of the
season will hopefully be running together (preferably Gunzenhauser catching
up). Plus they’ve got varsity guys who have been there before in Harris and
Stone. The pack looks great, plus this kid Bryce Brandenstein who is a freshman
just ran 17:32!!! Kevin James ran 17:24 as a freshman on an O’Hara team that
looks very similar to Mt. Lebo. I’m very excited about these guys.
Some solid results from CBE whose top 4 consists of only
juniors… which could be a good story line next season along with LD who had
made a great recovery with 3 sophomores in their top 5. Shean and Cassel are
killing it. State College looked great to open the season, but not so much at
this meet. I remember this happened last season and they came on very strong
late in the season so I’m not worried about them at all.
Blue: Hockenbury gets a big win, which is no surprise. He
went out in 7:39 (right behind the leaders of the Gold race) and slowed for a
16:10 mark. With 3 runners to push him, I really wonder where he would have
finished. This is a big result for him, but he seems to run better by himself,
which is odd. Either way, he is by far and away the top dog of AA right now.
Next was Brady Wilt who started off very strong with a second place finish in
16:43. I thought the Grove City boys would be the best 1-2 punch in AA, but
Budnik (9th) and Benka (12th) were out done by the York
Suburban kids. Wilt has found himself a great training partner in Donovan Mears
who had made a big jump thus far during his junior campaign. Mears finished 4th
overall in 16:48. The combined 6 points along with a 20th place
finish from freshman Bryce Ohl (17:33!) helped lead them to victory. With a
freshman as a #3 and a sophomore in Peter Wagner as a 4th man I
really like what this team has to offer.
Guys like Nathan Morgan (6th in 16:52) and Nate
Bartos (8th – 17:05) opened up their seasons pretty well, and Budnik
had a bounce back race to beat Benka. Budnik really seems to excel at Hershey,
which is rare to say. Noah Smith continues to look strong with a 5th
place finish and after losing a lot of seniors Derek Lopez of Pottsgrove looked
good with a 10th place finish.
White: I’m very impressed with the shape the Degroot-Lutzner is in
for Masterman. He took the win in 16:38, which puts him easily in the Top 50
List after just missing last week. He’ll be looking for a top 5 finish at
states and his time is 22 seconds faster than he ran last November. Colten
Trimble looks pretty solid from South Side and I also like Murray out of
Dunmore. VA’s Andrew Koryak comes from a long line of solid runners and should
do some damage later in the season, but he started off nicely with a 4th
place finish.
Avonworth took an easy victory with a nice top 3 pack
placing 11th, 12th, and 15th all just under 18
minutes. I don’t know how well they look against the rest of the state A teams
to be honest. I’ll do some more research on this tomorrow.
Adidas XC Challenge -- Dahl under 15:30!
Only 1 team traveled down to North Carolina this weekend and
that was Germantown Friends, and oh boy did they show up. Nick Dahl broke the
17 minute barrier for the first time this weekend. He also broke the 16 minute
barrier for the first time. Oh what’s that, he also broke 15:30 for the first
time as well setting a course record for sophomores in a 15:29.7 effort that
put him in 4th place? Yes, that did happen. Welcome to XC Nick Dahl.
The winner, Philip Hall, ran 15:12 for the win and ran 15:47 as a sophomore
here… to be explicit about it, in case you didn’t read all of my other posts on
Dahl, Dahl has a ton of potential and is looking like a monster. So glad we got
to see him over 5000m. It’s a shame it wasn’t against other PA guys, but Hall
is a 9:03 kid, while Christ and Brown both have 3200m PR’s of 9:28 (~11 seconds
behind Dahl). He is still getting used to XC, and I think we’ll see even bigger
drops this season from him.
Teammate Grayson Hepp ran 15:54 to start off his 5k
season pretty well with a 22nd place finish. Behind those two
however GTF had a fairly tough day placing 8th overall with a total
time of 16:25 (Places: 4, 19, 84,101, 112).
Altoona Mt. Lion XC Invitational -- Foust revenge on Kachman
Altoona dominated their invitational with Brad Foust coming
up with a BIG win in 16:20 to take down William Kachman who ran 16:43. Kachman
has been beating his teammate Zane Baker by 40 seconds+ every invitational, but
didn’t look nearly as good this weekend. I’m not sure what’s up with that, but
it’s good to see Foust doing well again. Dominic Stroh is nowhere to be found,
but Jerrod Sunderland has continued to make huge strides this season in terms
of racing. This is his second place finish to Foust this season. If Stroh can
get back in form, this team will challenge State College for the District 6
title.
62nd Annual George School Invitational -- Szuhaj gets the best of Arita
We saw a rare meeting between two of my favorite runners in
Brian Arita and Ben Szuhaj. They ran together till 800m to go when Arita surged
and took a wrong turn, which lost him both the lead an momentum. Szuhaj got the
win in 16:11, which ended up being 5 seconds ahead of Arita. Glad to see Szuhaj
back in action. The independent league is starting to get really strong, which
is great to see. Behind them there wasn’t anything big. CRN got their first
team invitational win of the season over a fairly weak field, but they’re
starting to look better. Freshman Ethan Koza broke 18 minutes for the 3rd
time, and Ben Heintz is starting to get over his sickness with a JV win in
17:58.
Dual Meets -- CB West continues to roll
I just wanted to quickly comment on a couple of Mid-Week Meets. CB East just looked strong in
Hershey, but CB West took them to task on Wednesday afternoon putting 5 in the top
8 during a tri-meet (Pennridge was also there). West is still looking dangerous
this season and Fortna has continued to look strong. On a Dual meet note, CV
dominated Central Dauphin, but I wanted to mention that Ben Watson (Wilson??)
of CD started off his season well by beating out Quinn Wasko. They were just
over 30 seconds ahead of Higgins and other CV runners.
-- ForrestCRN
The course is the same as the state course. They have the course map under the additional info.
ReplyDeletehttp://pa.milesplit.com/meets/177363-8th-piaa-foundation-xc-invitational#.VB4QFvldUud
wow. just wow. Power's race is even more unbelievable.
DeleteNot buying it, that course is different. Power is darn good, but has done nothing to date to lead to Russell like times. And last years Foundation times were clearly different from state equivalents. Just not buying it.
DeletePowers performance reminds of ben furcht (sp?). Furcht had decent success jr year than had incredible sr year.
DeleteIt's the same course as state. I ran at Foundation and States last year.
ReplyDeleteIncredible performance by powers. Before i consider him a top 5, i would like to see at least two more good performance. He is definitely a top 10 in my opinion at this time. Also, as i expected james bounced back nicely. I predicted he would be closed to brophy and not 12sec back like last week. I have to admit, i was wrong with COH. Didnt think they would beat NA. Ryan james really stepped up. That 2 good races for him so i know thnk he is a legitimate 2-3 for that team.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the write ups Forrest. And Brian told me you say hi. Hi!
ReplyDeleteBen
The course is always the same for foundation and states so stop using that excuse
ReplyDeleteYesterday my hamstrings were in a deadly stand off with the hills at foundation. Needless to say, the hills won
ReplyDeleteForrest, congratulations on getting banned from Penntrack. That's like a badge of honor. They are obviosly threatened by you and your superior analysis and knowledge of the sport.
ReplyDeleteThis is totally off topic but I was hoping someone could help me - my coach tells me I need to lose 10-15 lbs to get faster and stay on the team. I'm a former soccer guy and a better mid distance runner over xc. I'm in great shape, not fat,low bmi. I'm not sure I would feel strong enough competing that skinny and how do you safely lose weight while in-season? How long should it take to lose that much lbs ?
Dude, if you're in shape with low bmi, you don't need to lose weight to run XC. It's true that most of the top runners have the classic slight build, thin bones, and low weight, but there's been many decent XC runners who are jacked. If that's your natural build go with it, you'll be fine. Besides, the sport is about being as good as you can be with what you were dealt. The back end of a race is just as inspiring as the front.
DeleteI would have to agree with the post above. If bmi is low, no need to lose weight.
DeleteWow, any reason why you might have been banned? They do a get job with posting stats promptly and overall if a good site but their analysis is inferior to your, cummings or evans to the point that i dont dont even read them. Hope his gets sorted out at some point.
ReplyDeleteForrest, have you paid for a membership to Penntrack?
ReplyDeleteMaybe now that Lex is the big man, new rules? Either way that's stupid to exercise that kind of fearful censorship. Your posts, no matter how long they are, provide the kind of in - depth analysis they can't begin to put together. I agree with the poster 2 hours said you should be proud of that or at least validated.
And for the kid thinking if losing weight, don't. If your bmi and fitness is good don't buy into some old coach who thinks xc is for the anorexic crowd. That's bs and dangerous. Suggest doing some research on this before you do anything unhealthy.
If Forrest was really banned from Penn Track I'm cancelling my subscription.
Delete