Mid-Penn’s
Cumberland Valley looked strong once again even with Soliman
as their 3rd man. If he can stay within the top 3 and ~15 seconds
behind Wasko they’ll be set. A 37 second spread from this team is exactly the
consistency we’re looking for.
Up front I love what Seiger and Green have been able to do
at these bigger meets. Not backing down from Brehm who has now raced 3 hilly
courses in a row. Demko helped solitify himself in the top 50 with a 4th
place finish just two seconds behind Brehm. Weidner has another good race and
Milligan is leading a fairly impressive SC squad that placed 2nd
overall (told you guys to watch out). Matt Beyerle had a very impressive race (I
expected him and Feffer to be together). Hershey continues to impress with a
third place finish and Carlisle has some work to do with DeAngelo having
another underwhelming performance.
Slippery Rock
Griffin Mackey looked great in his win over Van Kooten who
seemed (from pictures) to have gone with him and then fell back. I hope Van
Kooten is okay come championship season, but Mackey is a force to be reckoned
with and could be a state medalist on a big race day.
Eastern States Race
I think it would be awesome if more PA teams decided to go
up to the Eastern States race. I think it’s a great opportunity to get in some
amazing competition.
This race went out hard from the gun with the best Northeast
runner Alex Ostberg destroy the course in an 11:57 effort. Very few people have
broken 12. Bryce Millar must love a fast pace, because after losing to Marston
two weekends ago he came out and blazed a 12:02 for a clear second place finish.
I’m not sure if Conestoga got caught up in the madness of going out fast, but
Marston placed 16th overall in 12:33, which isn’t a bad time at all.
This is around where I would have placed him at the start of the season (see
Northeast Top 25). Sam Ritz had a really big race in 12:31 for 13th
place! Ritz is really starting to get his XC legs under him during his senior
year and he may have an outside shot at making it to the footlocker finals.
La Salle’s 12 second spread beating out Conestoga? Wow. That’s
huge. Stoga had a faster average time, but lost to them by 26 points. 5th
man Cruickshank didn’t race, but this team will need to show big things back in
PA if they want to be in the running for this state title.
Delco’s
Kevin James looked superb in a new meet record. He’s been so
far ahead of his team this year and racing very hard after his loses at
Briarwood and Foundation. I hope it’s not too much for him to handle before
championship season, but I think he’ll be good. The team behind him looks very
strong also. The times from Ryan James and Rob Morro are really impressing me
and Pastore was 8 seconds behind where he was last season. If he places ~60th
at states they’ll have potentially the best 4th man, which is way
different than last season. It’s starting to look like the state title winner
will score around 120 points.
NTL Coaches Invite
Simon Smith follows up his big race at Paul Short with a 16
flat clocking to beat out the NEB studs in Upham and Smith.
Ches-Mont’s
Well Ches-Mont’s is today, which I totally forgot about
until this morning. After a tie from DTW and Henderson at Carlisle it should be
a really great battle between the two squads. I honestly would be surprised if
Henderson did not win this meet. They‘ve got a nice pack of 3 runners to work
with up front and a solid 4th runner who is a freshman. DT West has
under impressed this season and their runners have been very up and down this season.
Everything will need to come together for this team to win a title. It’s
amazing what changes in a month.
The battle up front should be fun to watch.
Sappey has looked good and his team will need that 1 point to beat Henderson.
Knapp has theoretically the best times, but I don’t think he’s nearly in the
shape he was last year. Diestelow had a nice two mile race and could always put
himself in the mix. Or maybe we’ll see Josh Smith make a big jump in fitness
back to where he was last season.
That's all for Now Folks
--ForrestCRN
Sappey and DTW over Knapp and Henderson
ReplyDeleteR Barton holding off Smucker and Barchet was the difference.
DeleteBoth Bartons were huge. Charlie picked up 5 places in the last 1/2 mile.
DeleteFull results
ReplyDeletehttp://runccrs.com/results/cmbvc2014/
1. 45 DOWNINGTOWN WEST ( 16:49 1:24:05)
========================================
1 1 Henry Sappey 16:20
2 6 Ryan Barton 16:44
3 9 Charlie Barton 16:48
4 13 Jake O'Neil 17:04
5 16 Shaun Bullock 17:09
6 ( 21) Ben Ryherd 17:12
7 ( 59) Matt Farrell 18:25
2. 47 WEST CHESTER HENDERSON ( 16:48 1:23:58)
========================================
1 2 Alex Knapp 16:21
2 4 Will Swart 16:34
3 7 Spencer Smucker 16:46
4 8 Gordy Barchet 16:48
5 26 Ben Berkman 17:29
6 ( 31) Connor Mcswain 17:37
7 ( 33) Apurva Deshmukh 17:39
Dwest took the JV race in 17:23 so they really had 7 in before WCH 5th
DeleteIf it's a dual meet Henderson wins 28-29 so they're at least as good
DeleteBerkman will really need to step up for Henderson, but both of these teams should make States. What are people thinking for time drops from Ches-Monts to Districts? 30-40 seconds?
ReplyDeleteI would say about 45-50 seconds for the top 3 runners and maybe about 20-30 for the others. The race went out very conservatively as it was clear that neither Sappey, Knapp, nor Diestelow wanted to lead the race. I think I saw them go through the mile in about 5:10-5:15. The course was different from years past, but in my opinion it was not much faster. They did cut out some of the steeplechase but they added on later in the race and threw in an extra hill. I see the top three who pretty much did not start racing until 3/4 of the way through the race dropping more time than the pack that ended up running with them.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the great analysis of the race!
DeleteAgree with the estimates on time drops. The race will certainly be faster than today. The chase group at Paul Short went through the mile in 4:50 - 4:55. That's 20 seconds off the top + any improvement for continued taper. Only a wet course could slow them down.
DeleteYeah, I ran there, the first mile is fast, the top JV runner ran 4:55 before burning and running a 19:30. However, I do agree with you that they did take the race out quite relaxed.
Delete^And adding to that they did finish on a constant uphill.
DeleteAt Delcos the bonner boys and Liam galligan ran very good races breaking into the ohara top 4 also on penntrack they keep saying James broke the lower merion kids course record but the central league course is shorter than the course they run at delcos.... Just thought I'd put that out there but watch out for the bonner boys in AA
ReplyDeleteOH always seems to wear down in the weeks after tearing it up at Delco's and PLC's.
DeleteThat has never happened
Delete